C. Maxine Most (“max”), Principal and founder of Acuity Market Intelligence, is a 20-year
veteran of the leading-edge of “high-tech”. Ms. Most founded Acuity to provide
timely, actionable insight and analysis for emerging technology markets. She is
the editor of the company’s first monthly publication - Biometrics Market
Intelligence - providing targeted analysis and insight into the
dynamics of the rapidly evolving biometrics industry.
Waiting
for the Windfall
Biometrics and the Government
To those of you just dying
to know which pivotal government application will transform the biometrics
industry catapulting a few entrepreneurial ventures with the best technology
to the forefront of the government market, I have one just one thing to say: “killer
aps” are more myth than market maker. And, if they exist at all, they
usually do so only in hindsight. What is fundamentally more important to know
is that “the government market ” is not “a market” at all. The
government is a universe of markets including several broadly defined sectors
such as legislature, judicial, general administration, a host of public
services, law enforcement and military. Each sector is in turn a universe in
itself, or at least a collection of multiple target markets. And these complex
universes of opportunity exist for three levels of government (though sometimes
less and sometimes more): federal, state or provincial, and local or municipal.
Developing a solution for “the government”
entails sifting through these universes and focusing attention on a few that are
closely related by application, function and interagency communication. This is
no easy task with proven technology, let alone emerging technology for which
government sources are still struggling to define evaluation criteria and
standards. Success in this arena requires more than just a special set of
skills and knowledge. It requires business process rigor, focused commitment,
confidence, a little bit of luck, the right connections, a willingness to
define targets and above all, patience. (And the funds to back it up!)
The good news is that there are tons of targets. The
bad news is that obtaining a government contract is a long, slow, often arduous
process with no guarantees. Often the opportunity costs associated with
forfeiting commercial business outweigh the benefit of the potential windfall.
Then there is the reality that governments worldwide are facing fiscal crises ranging
from inconvenient to the worst they’ve seen since WWII.
And if all of this isn’t enough to encourage a deep
breath and thoughtful reflection, consider the following: Even in the US,
where in some case biometrics have been mandated by law, government bureaucrats
are hesitant to commit to relatively unproven technology and in spite of
homeland security concerns, may not get the budget to do so. This has
perpetuated the typical environment of “consideration” and “exploration”
rather than direct action. While this is great for the overall potential
of the industry, it does not help vendors struggling to generate revenue now.
Demonstrable ROI for administrative tasks, particularly around eGovernment,
where the benefits are high and risk factors low (relative to the pursuit of
terrorists) may offer a faster path to success.
Government opportunities abound and as biometrics are
proven effective in the commercial sector uptake will accelerate. Nevertheless,
it will be slow going and offer limited immediate opportunities for direct
biometrics revenue.
C.
Maxine Most is the Principal of Acuity Market Intelligence ( www.acuity-mi.com
)– a targeted emerging technology consultancy - and Editor of Biometrics Market Intelligence
( www.biometricsmi.com ) –
a monthly publication providing ongoing biometrics industry analysis
C.
Maxine Most
Principal,
Acuity Market Intelligence
929 Maxwell
Avenue, Boulder, CO 80304 USA
tel: 303 449 1897 mobile: 720 530 5836 fax: 208 730 8924
cmaxmost@acuity-mi.com www.acuity-mi.com